A Strong End to 2020 for Durable Goods New Orders
In December, durable goods new orders reached their highest total since December 2018, growing at an accelerating rate for the second month in a row.
New orders for real durable goods totaled $254,795 million in December 2020, which was the highest order total since December 2018. December’s orders were 3.3% more than one year ago, making December the second consecutive month of accelerating growth in durable goods new orders.
Compared with one year ago, a number of industries recorded double-digit growth in December, including:
- motor vehicles and parts – 11.8%
- appliances – 22.8%
- computers/electronics – 10.7%
- power generation – 10.5%
- off-road/construction machinery – 18.3%
The result was that the annual rate of change contracted 7.9%, which was the fourth consecutive month of decelerating contraction. This was the slowest rate of contraction since April 2020.
Consumer durable goods spending is growing extremely fast with month-over-month growth faster than 9% for seven months in a row. Consumer durable goods spending is confirming a bottom in the rate of contraction in durable goods new orders has occurred.
Accelerating Growth: appliances, computers/electronics
Decelerating Growth:
Accelerating Contraction: aerospace, oil/gas-field/mining machinery, ship/boat building
Decelerating Contraction: construction materials, durable goods, fabricated metal products, HVAC, machinery/equipment, motor vehicles/parts, off-road/construction machinery, power generation, primary metals, total capital goods